'The Shape of Water' wins PGA Award for Best Picture with Tuesday's Oscar nominations looming large

We're almost there, you guys. Just a few more days.

Well, until the nominations, that is. The actual Oscars are still over a month away- the awards will finally be revealed on March 4. But with nominations set to be announced on Tuesday morning, the various guilds have begun passing out their annual awards. The SAG Awards are happening as we speak, the Directors Guild reveals their pick on February 2, and the Writers Guild will wait until February 10. But last night, the Producers Guild of America kicked things off by announcing their choice for the Best Motion Picture of 2017. The PGA is commonly known as a hugely influential predictor of the Oscars, as it uses a similar preferential ballot voting system. However, after a long streak of predicting the Best Picture winner, The Big Short and La La Land won the PGA Award before ultimately losing out at the Oscars. Nonetheless, it's a big and prestigious award, and the film world was waiting to see what would happen last night.


In the end, the Producers Guild chose The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro's beloved Cold War fable. This comes after the film picked up the Best Picture prize at the Critics' Choice Awards, while also taking home Best Director at the Golden Globes. Last night, the film beat out 10 other nominees, including Oscar heavyweights Three Billboards, Lady Bird, and Get Out. The Shape of Water is clearly gaining some major momentum, and it's likely to have a huge morning on Tuesday. As readers of this site probably know, I'm not a huge fan of the film, despite my admiration for its originality and my love for del Toro's creativity. But at this point, I find myself having little investment in this Oscar season- with Dunkirk and Call Me By Your Name fading, there's little left for me to feel passionate about. This win does position The Shape of Water as the Best Picture front-runner, but then again, it did miss out on a crucial Best Ensemble nomination at the SAG Awards. It's too early to decide whether or not that hurts del Toro's film, but it certainly keeps it from solidifying its status as the film to beat.

In conclusion, I'll say this. Should Three Billboards win tonight at the SAG Awards, it's a two-horse race. But if Get Out or Lady Bird takes the top prize, we're in for a fight until the bitter end. It should be interesting. Stay tuned for more.


Images courtesy of Fox Searchlight

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