'Lady Bird,' 'Three Billboards,' and 'Get Out' lead nominations for the 24th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards

No film since 1995, the inaugural year of the Screen Actors Guild Awards, has won Best Picture at the Oscars without receiving an ensemble nomination from the SAG. Last year, we all thought that La La Land, a film that basically belonged to Ryan Gosling and Emma Stone, would be the movie that would break the mold. In the end, we were very, very wrong. The ultimate winners of the SAG Awards are practically irrelevant- after all, Hidden Figures and American Hustle are some of the recent films that won here without making a dent at the Oscars. But the nominations are important, serving as a crucial look at the thought pattern of the Actors' branch, the largest in the Academy.

Early this morning, Olivia Munn and Niecy Nash announced the nominees for the 24th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards- check them out below!

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture


Image courtesy of Amazon

The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
Mudbound
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missoui

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role


Image courtesy of A24

Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role


Image: IMDB/Universal

Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluyya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role


Image: IMDB/Paramount

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Hong Chau, Downsizing
Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role


Image courtesy of Fox Searchlight

Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

It was a good day for some notable films, and it was a very bad day for a number of movies that were perceived to be major players. Let's start with the good- if we're going based on the logic that even caught up with one of the biggest Oscar juggernauts in history, then one of the five films nominated for Outstanding Cast will eventually pick up a trophy for Best Picture.

Will it be Mudbound? Unfortunately, Dee Rees' film feels like the only one with a slim chance to even be nominated for Best Picture. SAG is more Netflix-friendly than the Academy, as evidenced by the fact that they nominated Cary Fukunaga's Beasts of No Nation in 2015. Mudbound could seriously change the game with an Oscar nomination, but it has a huge uphill battle to climb.

In that case, will the winner be The Big Sick, one of the most widely beloved films of 2017? It's not likely, but this is a big win for a film that took a hit from the Golden Globes. The autobiographical story of Kumail Nanjiani and Emily V. Gordon is now back in the race, and could very well end up being one of the Oscar nominees for Best Picture. But with a summer release date, it also will find itself fighting against historical precedent.

So what about Lady Bird? Greta Gerwig's film has been nominated by just about everyone, and it was named Best Picture by the New York Film Critics Circle. In addition to the ensemble nod, the coming-of-age dramedy picked up nominations for Saoirse Ronan and Laurie Metcalf, who could both be labeled as the favorite in their respective categories. Major awards prognosticators seem to believe that this is a possible winner, and it's definitely on a good run. I'm still skeptical, but we'll see.

And then there's the case of Get Out, a film that rebels against every single "Oscar movie" convention. It's a horror movie that was released in February- that definitely doesn't scream awards. But Get Out is touching the zeitgeist in a big way, emerging as the first film that feels cathartic in the aftermath of an election that saw Donald Trump seize the presidency. It looks like Daniel Kaluuya could be making his way to an Oscar nomination for Best Actor, and there already has been a lot of heat on Jordan Peele's screenplay. It's too early to call, but I would not be surprised if the changing Academy chooses the film that felt the most culturally relevant in 2017.

Finally, there's Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, which received the most nominations of the day with four. That's a great victory for a great film, but I flat-out don't think this movie is going to win Best Picture. It has emerged as a really controversial piece of work, and while it taps into themes of anger, sexual assault, and female empowerment, its avoidance of race and the character of Jason Dixon will form the basis for many, many thinkpieces. I love Three Billboards, but it's going to end up being a divisive choice.

It was a great day for those films, but for several others, this morning's announcement spelled doom. The Post was the most shocking omission- how the hell does a movie with Meryl Streep, Tom Hanks, and Steven Spielberg not get a single SAG nomination? I was stunned when I realized it had missed the cut, and I think it could mean trouble for a movie that feels like a very safe pick. It always felt like putting my hopes on a nomination for Dunkirk here was a foolish idea, and as expected, it was also shut out. It'll have to receive significant attention from the Directors and Producers Guilds to have a hope of winning. The Shape of Water also missed the cut in Best Ensemble, putting its Best Picture chances in doubt after a strong run over the last few weeks. Call Me By Your Name only mustered one nomination in Best Actor, and Paul Thomas Anderson's Phantom Thread couldn't garner a single nod, not even for a retiring Daniel Day-Lewis.

We're at the point where the Oscar race is narrowing significantly, and it got even tighter today. More to come as awards season progresses over the next few weeks.

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